QUOTE (skeptic2 @ May 5 2009, 07:06 AM)
So Specter is now polling 20 points ahead of Toomey
To be fair, though, we are still more than a year away from the primary. The poll numbers now don't mean much. For example, if Tom Ridge, who has indicated that he is running as a Republican, beats Toomey, Specter faces a much tougher fight. Also, the response to votes in the upcoming year from Specter can certainly sway public opinion. Finally, the latest increase may also be because of the amount of press that Specter has gotten in the past week.
Personally, I'd say that Specter has little to worry about. However, my belief is based on trends and not the current poll numbers which are notoriously fickle.